October 2019
Featured in this insight: Central government & non-department public bodies, Local & regional government
Two thirds of people think Brexit deal is unlikely to be agreed by October 19: A survey asking voters how likely they feel it is that a Brexit deal will be renegotiated and agreed on by the EU, by October 19, has revealed more than two thirds (67%) believe it is 'not very likely' (31%), or 'not likely at all' (36%).
Just 3% said that they thought it was 'very likely' that Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, could secure a deal by October 19, while 13% said it was 'somewhat likely'. The poll revealed 17% were uncertain, answering 'don't know'.
The YouGov poll of 2,241 representative UK adults also found that Lib Dem voters thought a deal was the least likely (84%) followed by Labour (76%) and Conservative (59%). Looking at those supporting Leave and Remain, 80% of Remain voters said they think it it 'not very likely' or 'not likely at all' that a deal would be agreed by the EU by 19 October, compared to 59% of Leave supporters.
Breaking down the findings by region, Scotland had the highest number believing that renegotiating a deal by the 19th October would be 'not very likely' or 'not likely at all' (74%), followed by Southern England – (excluding London – 68%), London (65%), Midlands and Wales (64%) and Northern England (64%).
Respondents polled in Wales and the Midlands were the most confident of a deal, with almost a fifth (18%) saying they thought it was 'somewhat likely' or 'very likely' by October 19. Then followed London, the 'Rest of the South' and the North – each with 17%, and Scotland, the least convinced with 12%.
More than a quarter of those aged over 65 thought a a deal was 'somewhat' or 'very likely' (27%), while 18% of 50–65 year-olds thought the same. Thirteen percent (13%) of 25–49 year-olds were confident a deal could be agreed by October 19 compared to 9% of 18–24 year-olds.
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